The good news is that, for me at least, it seems like people generally seem to be a lot less confident in Biden's chances of success this time around, despite the fact that Biden's lead has been more consistent than Hillary's. It's only in the past few days with Trump getting Covid that people have started to seem too confident, and that worries me. (I'm really struggling to figure out the electoral consequences of these past few days, but they definitely don't seem like they help Trump.)

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